SATSTATS // DEPLOY CALCULATOR

┌─ YOUR DEPLOY what you'd run─┐

Total deposit (bankroll)

Deploy per round

Tiles covered — 21 of 21

Spread lands on the least-contested tiles first (best value), matching the round-spread model. Figures are live from the Satstats API and update as you type.

┌─ WHAT YOU'D GET LIVEon averages─┐

Deposit lasts

rounds

Run time

at round cadence

Sat Strike if it hits you

your slice of the pot

Round-pot / round

win prob -

Hashrate / round

HR earned

Hashrate over the run

total HR

Claimable SATS / round

back as BTC

Claimable SATS over run

in BTC

┌─ SAT STRIKE PAYOUT the big one─┐

If a strike fires on a tile you cover-

Chance a given strike lands on your tiles-

Your share of that winning tile

Live strike payout pot (70% slice)-

Full on-chain pot-

Historical avg strike bonus paid-

Strikes fire on 1 in 1,439 rounds, with no timer and no threshold. When one hits, 70% of the built-up pot is split across the winning tile pro-rata to stake. Concentrating on fewer tiles shrinks your chance of being on the winning tile but fattens your slice when you are. This is the per-strike prize, not an average per round.

┌─ WHERE EACH $1 OF DEPLOY GOES 20% skim, 80% pot─┐

Only the 1.42% protocol rake actually leaves. The round pot goes to winners, the 12% sats slice comes back to you as claimable bitcoin (realising ~14% right now), and the vault fees are redistributed through the strike / epoch / one-BTC draws. That is why the deposit drains slowly in value even as the USDC balance falls faster.

┌─ YOUR SPREAD THIS ROUND -─┐

you coverothers' live stake per tile

┌─ HOW LONG IT RUNS USDC bankroll─┐

Deploy per round-

Expected round-pot back / round-

Net USDC drain / round-

Rounds until deposit is gone-

Wall-clock run time-

Total deployed over the run-

Runtime tracks the USDC bankroll being drawn down by the skim + pari-mutuel loss. It does not count the claimable SATS/BTC or hashrate you bank on the side (shown above) — in value terms those bring you close to break-even. Covering all 21 tiles is the slowest burn; concentrating burns faster but swings bigger.

┌─ HOW THESE NUMBERS ARE MODELLED averages, not guarantees─┐

Round pot

Pari-mutuel: 1 of 21 tiles wins uniformly, winners split the pot pro-rata to stake. Your 80% pot-share competes against the live per-tile stakes; pot ratio R≈1.00.

Sat Strike

Per-strike prize = 70% payout pot × your share of the winning tile. Fire rate from the stored round history; the payout pot is read live.

Hashrate & streaks

HR is credited on-chain per deploy (shown in the in-game ÷100 units). Keeping a streak rewards more HR, and mining right after a Sat Strike temporarily doubles HR rewards — both are applied on-chain, so the rate here is a streak-neutral average.

Claimable SATS

The 12% sats-vault fee returns as claimable bitcoin. Measured yield right now is ~14% of deploy value, a touch above the fee from early vault appreciation.

The averages

Others' per-tile stakes, strike pot, BTC price and the HR/SATS rates are a live snapshot. Real rounds vary; this is the expected picture, not a guarantee.

What's not counted

Epoch / one-BTC draw winnings (you'd win these with the HR shown), gas, and streak/boost bonuses. The runtime is deliberately the pessimistic USDC-only view.

payout(tile i wins) = pot · yourStakeᵢ / (othersᵢ + yourStakeᵢ) · EV = Σᵢ (1/21) · payoutᵢ · strike = 0.7·pot · share